First let me tell you just how ridiculous this mid season rule change is. No self respecting athletic director should have ever voted for this. Im not sure what the undercurrent is for this change, but it seems there are at least 13 athletic directors at CUSA schools that dont know a thing about fair play. Probably got too many participation trophies when they were growing up, rather than follow the rules of winning and losing.
Ive looked at all the computer ratings and In all but one Southern Miss is ahead of UAB. La Tech is ahead of Southern Miss in all but one as well. The interesting thing is in the ratings that Southern Miss is behind Tech, Massey has Southern Miss one spot behind Tech, Colley 2 spots, A & H 2 spots, Wolfe 12 and Billingsley 10. in the Saragin ratings Southern Miss is ahead of Tech by 7 and UAB by 19. In the Billingsley ratings UAB is ahead of Tech by 4 and USM by 14. So by average Tech is at 66.5, Southern Miss is 70.8333 and UAB is at 75. Certainly right now things dont favor Southern Miss.
But.... and this is a big but because i dont keep up with these ratings at all......the schedule favors Southern Miss in this final game if they can get a win and both other teams also get a win.
FAU (USM opp) ratings: Saragin=64, Massey=41, Colley=33, Wolfe=39, A&H=45, Billingsley=34.
UNT(UAB opp) ratings: Sar=125, Mas=114, Col=116, wol=114, A&H=116, Bill=109
TX-SA (Tech opp) rat: Sar=155, mas=121, col=118, wol=122, AH=119, Bill=117
It doesnt take a rocket scientist to recognize that wins by all three teams should benefit Southern Miss the most in terms of rating in each poll. And while at this point in the season, movement is probably only going to be slight, it wont take a lot.
A Southern Miss win over FAU is a big hurdle, but that might be enough to propel the Eagles into the champ game...... but, it looks as though if that occurs.... Marshall with a win saturday would host the championship game based on those same computer ratings.
Marshall Ratings: sar=84, mas=62, col=46, wol=52, ah=59, bill=49.
If Marshall loses and Southern Miss moves up in the ratings enough to win the West, Southern Miss would host FAU based on head to head win during the season. Because of losses to Marshall and FAU, WKU does not factor into any tie situation in the East.