Saturday Postseason Snap: Who has helped/hurt their postseason cases • D1Baseball
With two days of games done this weekend, which teams have helped or hurt their postseason cases? Find out.
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Saturday Postseason Snap: Who has helped/hurt their postseason cases
USM celebration (USM photo)
by: Kendall RogersMay 17, 2025
The postseason is near, and each result seems to be magnified this time of year.
With two days of games in the books this weekend, here’s an in-depth look at teams who have helped or hurt their postseason cases.
Who helped their case (I moved us to the top. We were listed 4th in the the article but just 5 teams are discussed)
Southern Miss
Our Aaron Fitt wrote about this possibility last night, here. Southern Miss certainly looks like a team on a collision course with a regional host. The Golden Eagles won the first two games of their important series against Troy and are up to 22 in the RPI with a 23-6 league record, No. 18 non-conference SOS, a 6-4 mark vs. Q1 teams and a 11-7 mark vs. Q1/Q2 teams. Furthermore, one of the other host contenders is TCU, which USM has a series win over … on the road in Fort Worth. USM is trending the right direction at precisely the right time to host.
Oregon
We discussed this on the NerdCast earlier this week as we debated potential top eight national seeds. The Ducks could be a contender here. With a series win at Iowa, the Ducks are up to 16 in the RPI with a 9-1 mark vs. Q1 and 11-1 mark vs. Q1/Q2 teams. That is not a lot of games against those two quads, but when they’ve played those games, they’ve won almost all of them. UO also has a No. 11 non-conference strength of schedule, which helps. I also feel like the eyeball test very much favors Mark Wasikowski’s club. That is one of the premier offenses in college baseball. Oregon’s case for a top eight seed continues to improve, but it’s still behind some other teams in the pecking order.
Ole Miss
The Rebels were already in the hosting mix, but they have significantly increased their chances of hosting this weekend with a home series win over Auburn. The Rebels are up to 17 in the RPI and now have a 16-13 league record. Furthermore, the Rebs are a whopping 16-13 against Q1 teams with just three games against Q2 teams. Should the Rebels win the series finale against AU and Texas lose to Oklahoma on Saturday, Ole Miss would have the most Q1 wins in college baseball at 17. It seems difficult to deny a host to a team with that type of feather in its cap, but let’s see how Saturday plays out.
North Carolina
It feels like the Tar Heels solidified their spot as a top-eight national seed with a road series win over Florida State. Not only did the Heels win the series, they dominated the series clincher in Tallahassee. UNC is up to 7 in the RPI with an 11-4 mark vs. Q1 and 22-9 mark vs. Q1/Q2. Those marks combined with 18 league wins put the Heels in an excellent spot entering the ACC tournament. I’d consider them a lock at this point. As for Florida State, I still think it checks a lot of boxes, but the reality is that its RPI is down to 15. I still feel rather good about the Seminoles being a Top 16, but it’s at least something to monitor when entering the ACC tourney.
Cincinnati
The Bearcats might have locked themselves into the NCAA tournament this weekend with a dominant home series win over Kansas State. With the two wins, the Bearcats are up to 32 in the RPI (+3 week/o/week) with a 16-13 league record. Furthermore, the Bearcats now have series wins over Duke, Kansas State, Kansas and Oklahoma State. That’s an at-large team resume for sure. Jordan Bischel will not take chances in the conference tourney, however. Cincy was on the cusp of a tournament berth last season, but was left out of the mix on Selection Monday.
