It’s a bit strange to see UAB heavily favored over Southern Miss at home, but that’s where the struggling Golden Eagles find themselves after a 1-5 start and a bleak loss to UTEP last Saturday. Will Hall’s Golden Eagles are a 15.5-point underdog to the 4-2 Blazers, and the numbers for the conference battle don’t line up well for USM.
UAB looks to be in contention for another West division championship in CUSA, due largely to their stifling defense that ranks top 10 nationally in takeaways and has halted the ground attack of their opponents. This is bad news for a Southern Miss offense that has yet to find any answers running the ball and has struggled to find a way to throw defenses out of stacking the box. The Golden Eagles rank 119th out of 130 FBS teams in production on the ground and Saturday will be another stiff test.
Former fifth-string quarterback Jake Lange has been the best of three quarterbacks for Will Hall in managing the offense in 2021. However, weak offensive line play has prevented real production (or protection) for a battered quarterback room. So battered in fact, that Jake Smithhart, former student assistant, was brought onto the roster and officially named the third-string quarterback for Southern Miss on Tuesday morning. For an offense that has totaled 6 touchdowns in five contests against FBS competition, a matchup against the stingy Blazers defense isn’t a favorable one.
But let’s look at the bright side. Southern Miss still ranks top 50 in total defense even after a rough outing last Saturday night. On the other side, UAB has struggled to score points and brings another run-heavy system into MM Roberts Stadium. The defense failed to meet the bar that was set through the first five games on the schedule against UTEP, but the strength is still in stopping the run. Should the defense find a way to recover and get back to what has been the bright spot of a long season in Hattiesburg, it’s no long shot that this game will be competitive.
With injuries, transfers, and youth remaining a factor, turning around the offensive woes will be an uphill battle in the second half. However, winning the turnover battle and slowing down the UAB rushing attack would likely mean this game is much closer than the two-touchdown spread is projecting. The keys to a competitive game for Southern Miss are exactly what they have been all year long, yet even more so in battle with the visitors from Birmingham. Winning the turnover margin, preventing big plays in the running game, and catching a few breaks offensively would give Southern Miss an opportunity to score an upset and win number one of the conference schedule.
On top of this, it goes without saying that the offensive line must take a step forward. Protection breakdowns on three- and four-man rushes will again spell disaster Lange and Co. For this reason, much has been made of revamping the personnel in the trenches this offseason, but for now, what you see is what you’ve got. What Hall coach has “got” is a deflated, underperforming group that holds little confidence. But a competitive outing against one of the top teams in the conference would go a long way into building some momentum for the looming offseason.
What are your keys to a win for Southern Miss on Saturday? At this point, how do you define success for Coach Hall's group?