if given a huge payday after this year. Our schedule in 2016 looks like 9-3, 10-2, or maybe even 11-1 potential with improving Kentucky and LSU (maybe with a new coach) as our toughest games. If TM is smart he will say no to a bigger pay day with other 'mid-majors' and lower level P5's and wait for better openings next year. I'll betcha Iowa State calls, as will Illinois, and Memphis. All 3 can pay double, or more, than we pay, but they are all death sentences. He would certainly go to South Carolina, LSU, or Miami but they won't be calling.
Next year, if he wins 9 or more games and his offense continues to shine he can get what he wants, and it ain't Iowa State.
So, will Larry Fedora leave UNC this year? I say if he can get Texas A&M (assuming Kevin Sumlin goes to USC) or LSU he'll will take it. The NCAA will drop the hammer on UNC and probably the football program, and we know L Fed is a climber anyway, so I think he will take the first train out of Chapel Hill. If he loses Gene Chizik as
DC whomever hires him is getting half a coaching staff. Chizik is being rumored for other programs out there anyway. He is again a hot defensive coaching commodity. All this has nothing to do with us, except I think Fedora will offer Dave Duggan a big salary wherever he goes, especially if he loses Chizik. Our AD needs to get Duggan and the staff under contract for next year.
Finally, the reason Memphis and Houston and schools like this are offering huge deals to their coaches isn't because they think they can outbid the major schools. They are actually trying to leverage higher buyouts, so if LSU or whomever is going to steal their coach, they will have to pay them handsomely. Traditionally we don't think like that. We should have a healthy buyout for us if Monken leaves. Even Arkansas State has a huge buyout if someone wants to hire Blake.
Next year, if he wins 9 or more games and his offense continues to shine he can get what he wants, and it ain't Iowa State.
So, will Larry Fedora leave UNC this year? I say if he can get Texas A&M (assuming Kevin Sumlin goes to USC) or LSU he'll will take it. The NCAA will drop the hammer on UNC and probably the football program, and we know L Fed is a climber anyway, so I think he will take the first train out of Chapel Hill. If he loses Gene Chizik as
DC whomever hires him is getting half a coaching staff. Chizik is being rumored for other programs out there anyway. He is again a hot defensive coaching commodity. All this has nothing to do with us, except I think Fedora will offer Dave Duggan a big salary wherever he goes, especially if he loses Chizik. Our AD needs to get Duggan and the staff under contract for next year.
Finally, the reason Memphis and Houston and schools like this are offering huge deals to their coaches isn't because they think they can outbid the major schools. They are actually trying to leverage higher buyouts, so if LSU or whomever is going to steal their coach, they will have to pay them handsomely. Traditionally we don't think like that. We should have a healthy buyout for us if Monken leaves. Even Arkansas State has a huge buyout if someone wants to hire Blake.