Courtesy of CUSA
FB: C-USA Football Scenarios
Nov. 24, 2019 Football
CONFERENCE USA FOOTBALL SCENARIOS
Following is a "simple" evaluation of the league's 2019 football race through games of November 23:
C-USA Football Scenarios 11 24 19.(pdf)
2019 C-USA Football Tie-Breakers.(pdf)
In the East -
Florida Atlantic (6-1) –The Owls can win the East Division by winning against Southern Miss. Florida Atlantic owns the tie-breaker over WKU.
Marshall (5-2) – the Thundering Herd can win the East Division by winning against FIU, if Florida Atlantic loses to Southern Miss. Marshall owns the tie-breakers over Florida Atlantic and WKU and would win a two-way tie with Florida Atlantic at 6-2 and a three-way tie-breaker at 6-2.
WKU (5-2) –The Hilltoppers can finish in a tie for the East Division at 6-2, but lose the head-to-head tie-breaker with Florida Atlantic and a three-way tie-breaker with both schools based on head-to-head losses to each.
In the West –
Louisiana Tech (5-2) – the Bulldogs can win the West Division title with a win vs. UTSA and a UAB loss at North Texas. The Bulldogs will win the division at 6-2 in a tie with Southern Miss only, as the Bulldogs own the tie-breaker over the Golden Eagles).
Southern Miss (5-2) – the Golden Eagles can win the West Division by winning at Florida Atlantic, if LA Tech loses to UTSA. Southern Miss owns the tie-breaker over UAB if both schools are 6-2.
UAB (5-2) – the Blazers can win the West Division by winning at North Texas, along with a Southern Miss loss at Florida Atlantic. UAB would then win a head-to-head tie-breaker with LA Tech if both schools are 6-2.
If Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss and UAB each win their final regular season game and finish 6-2, the tie would not be broken through the first seven tie-breakers and it would go down to tie-breaker No. 8: “If still tied, the representative will be the team that has not participated in the championship game most recently.” Southern Miss (2015) would win that tie-breaker ahead of Louisiana Tech (2016) and UAB (2018).
Regarding the host of the Conference USA Football Championship game –
Florida Atlantic (6-1) – controls its destiny to host the C-USA Championship Game and will host with a win over Southern Miss in Boca Raton on Saturday.
Marshall (5-2) remains a possibility to host the C-USA Championship from the East Division, while Louisiana Tech (5-2), Southern Miss (5-2) and UAB (5-2) remain possibilities to host the C-USA Championship from the West Division.
Head-to-head competition is the first tie-breaker if divisional champions have the same conference record. If they did not play, the CFP ranking is the next tie-breaker. If neither team is in the top 25 of the CFP Rankings and wins on the final weekend, average computer ranking (Anderson and Hester, Billingsley, Colley Matrix, Massey, Sagarin and Wolfe) would be used to determine host.
As far as bowl eligibility is concerned:
There are six teams with at least seven wins and bowl eligibility – Florida Atlantic (8-3), Louisiana Tech (8-3), Marshall (7-4), Southern Miss (7-4), UAB (7-4) and WKU (7-4).
There are two teams with six wins and bowl eligibility – Charlotte (6-5) and FIU (6-5).
Conference USA will have eight bowl-eligible teams this season.
C-USA has six guaranteed bowl selections in 2019: Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl (Tampa Bay, Fla.) the Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl (Nassau, Bahamas), New Mexico Bowl (Albuquerque, N.M.), R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl and SERVPRO First Responder Bowl (Dallas, Texas), along with either the SoFi Hawai’i Bowl (Honolulu, Hawai’i), or the Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl (Frisco, Texas) . The league has a secondary agreement with the Walk-On’s Independence Bowl (Shreveport, La.), should the ACC or SEC not be able to fill its spot in that game, and a secondary agreement with the Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl.
FB: C-USA Football Scenarios
Nov. 24, 2019 Football
CONFERENCE USA FOOTBALL SCENARIOS
Following is a "simple" evaluation of the league's 2019 football race through games of November 23:
C-USA Football Scenarios 11 24 19.(pdf)
2019 C-USA Football Tie-Breakers.(pdf)
In the East -
Florida Atlantic (6-1) –The Owls can win the East Division by winning against Southern Miss. Florida Atlantic owns the tie-breaker over WKU.
Marshall (5-2) – the Thundering Herd can win the East Division by winning against FIU, if Florida Atlantic loses to Southern Miss. Marshall owns the tie-breakers over Florida Atlantic and WKU and would win a two-way tie with Florida Atlantic at 6-2 and a three-way tie-breaker at 6-2.
WKU (5-2) –The Hilltoppers can finish in a tie for the East Division at 6-2, but lose the head-to-head tie-breaker with Florida Atlantic and a three-way tie-breaker with both schools based on head-to-head losses to each.
In the West –
Louisiana Tech (5-2) – the Bulldogs can win the West Division title with a win vs. UTSA and a UAB loss at North Texas. The Bulldogs will win the division at 6-2 in a tie with Southern Miss only, as the Bulldogs own the tie-breaker over the Golden Eagles).
Southern Miss (5-2) – the Golden Eagles can win the West Division by winning at Florida Atlantic, if LA Tech loses to UTSA. Southern Miss owns the tie-breaker over UAB if both schools are 6-2.
UAB (5-2) – the Blazers can win the West Division by winning at North Texas, along with a Southern Miss loss at Florida Atlantic. UAB would then win a head-to-head tie-breaker with LA Tech if both schools are 6-2.
If Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss and UAB each win their final regular season game and finish 6-2, the tie would not be broken through the first seven tie-breakers and it would go down to tie-breaker No. 8: “If still tied, the representative will be the team that has not participated in the championship game most recently.” Southern Miss (2015) would win that tie-breaker ahead of Louisiana Tech (2016) and UAB (2018).
Regarding the host of the Conference USA Football Championship game –
Florida Atlantic (6-1) – controls its destiny to host the C-USA Championship Game and will host with a win over Southern Miss in Boca Raton on Saturday.
Marshall (5-2) remains a possibility to host the C-USA Championship from the East Division, while Louisiana Tech (5-2), Southern Miss (5-2) and UAB (5-2) remain possibilities to host the C-USA Championship from the West Division.
Head-to-head competition is the first tie-breaker if divisional champions have the same conference record. If they did not play, the CFP ranking is the next tie-breaker. If neither team is in the top 25 of the CFP Rankings and wins on the final weekend, average computer ranking (Anderson and Hester, Billingsley, Colley Matrix, Massey, Sagarin and Wolfe) would be used to determine host.
As far as bowl eligibility is concerned:
There are six teams with at least seven wins and bowl eligibility – Florida Atlantic (8-3), Louisiana Tech (8-3), Marshall (7-4), Southern Miss (7-4), UAB (7-4) and WKU (7-4).
There are two teams with six wins and bowl eligibility – Charlotte (6-5) and FIU (6-5).
Conference USA will have eight bowl-eligible teams this season.
C-USA has six guaranteed bowl selections in 2019: Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl (Tampa Bay, Fla.) the Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl (Nassau, Bahamas), New Mexico Bowl (Albuquerque, N.M.), R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl and SERVPRO First Responder Bowl (Dallas, Texas), along with either the SoFi Hawai’i Bowl (Honolulu, Hawai’i), or the Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl (Frisco, Texas) . The league has a secondary agreement with the Walk-On’s Independence Bowl (Shreveport, La.), should the ACC or SEC not be able to fill its spot in that game, and a secondary agreement with the Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl.
